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                                                                             CHAPTER 3
                                        Demographic changes and challenges in Europe with special focus on Germany  45





                 Figure 3.1.  Indexed trend of the share of the potential working
                           population in the age group 55-64 years to the total
                           potential working population for Germany and EU-27
                           average (Index 2008 = 100)


                                                              Germany         EU-27
                   160

                   140

                   120
                   100

                    80
                       2008  2010  2012  2014  2016  2018  2020  2022  2024  2026  2028  2030

                 Source: Eurostat, Europop2008 (date of extraction 8.11.2010); own calculations.

                   Table 3.1 illustrates that from north and west European countries especially
                 in Germany the average index point rise of the share of the potential working
                 population in the age group 55 to 64 years of the total potential working
                 population is highest. This means that the demographic pressure on German
                 society, politics, social partners, enterprises, etc., will be very strong in the
                 next two decades.

                 Table 3.1.  Average index points increase of the potential working
                          population in the age group 55-64 years to the total potential
                          working population for 2008-30

                 Country               Index point  Country               Index point
                  Germany                    129    Norway                      105
                  Austria                    123    United Kingdom              105
                  Luxembourg                 119    Denmark                     101

                  EU-27                      115    Finland                     100
                  Belgium                    112    Sweden                       97
                  Netherlands                111

                 Source: Eurostat, Europop2008 (date of extraction 8.11.2010); own calculations.
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