Page 61 - valuing-diversity-guidance-for-labour-market-integration-of-migrants

Valuing diversity: guidance for labour market integration of migrants

Figure 2 Population projections in the EU-27 with and without migration
(millions)

540

520
500

480
With migration
460 No migration

440

420
400
2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Source: Eurostat, Europop 2010 database. Online data code [proj_10c2150a].

Table 3 Population projections in the EU-27 with and without migration
(absolute values)

2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

With 508 234 690 514 365 687 519 109 103 524 536 969 525 624 613 521 034 357
migration

Without
502 309 059 501 084 201 497 436 030 484 806 777 467 248 897 443 841 544
migration

Difference 5 925 631 13 281 486 30 537 302 49 007 540 67 797 584 86 378 549
Weight of
migration
in growth 1.18 2.65 6.21 10.28 14.86 20.06
of natural
population
Source: Cedefop calculations made from Eurostat’s database EUROPO2010, online data code
[proj_10c2150a].

It is worth noting that short and medium-term projections already highlight
considerable differences between the two growths lines, stressing the urgent
need to understand and address this dynamic from a policy action standpoint.
One immediate concern is the possibility of labour shortages, especially of
qualified labour, in the face technologically-biased economic growth. This raises
four fundamental questions:

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